SoCal Multifamily Sales Pulse - May 31, 2021 - June 6, 2021
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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You
Rising Lumber Prices Now Impacting Multi-Family Developers
The increase in lumber costs has impacted single-family home construction and now doing the same to apartment-building developers, The Wall Street Journal reports. Multi-family buildings are made with several different materials, but wood remains a major component. This is especially true in low to mid-rise buildings. Lumber is also used for flooring and cabinets.
Multi-family building developers such as Trammell Crow Residential and Greystar Real Estate partners admitted to being surprised at the lumber price tag. A lot of homeowners have noticed the price increase when they purchase wood at their local hardware store—costs are more than three times what they were at this time in 2020, according to industry executives. Meanwhile, the price of softwood lumber, which is used for framing, has increased more than 83% of what it was at this time last year, according to CoStar Advisory Services. Lumber and wood prices in general are up 34% from last year, CoStar said.
These price increases are not limited to lumber, The Wall Street Journal reports. Other material costs for multi-family construction have gone up 25% to 30% over the past year for fuel, copper and steel. CoStar reported the increase was the largest for such materials since 1988.
How Lumber Price Increases Impact Investors, CRE
Multi-family property investors are keeping a close eye on both labor costs and rents to determine the sector’s health. They’re also watching lumber prices, as well as other materials, The Wall Street Journal reports. CenterSquare Investment Management LLC assistant portfolio manager Alexander Snyder said if rents stay constant, the increased costs will impact apartment development returns.
The rise in lumber costs has not affected high-rise development as much, however. Development for these buildings use less wood and partition walls are now typically framed with steel studs. Meanwhile, the decreased demand for commercial properties like office buildings, malls and downtown apartment buildings has slowed down construction business in the U.S. Subcontractors have responded by lowering their prices to get any CRE projects that are moving forward. Gaining CRE projects has helped offset the high lumber prices.
It was just 12 to 18 months ago that subcontractor margins were approximately 20% for some projects due to the heavy workload, David Askie, director of cost planning at Lendlease told The Wall Street Journal. Currently, margins are closer to 5%.
“They want the work,” Askie said
Orange County
Orange County multifamily Closed Sales Last Week were down quite a bit to just 13 Closed Sales. That's the lowest amount of weekly sales in the last few months. I don't think it's anything indicating a slow down as the Closed Sales - Average Days on Market was still very low at just 34 days and over half of the Closed Sale were Transactions that Sold At or Above Asking Price. I think the decline in Closed Sales Last Week is partially due to the short week caused by the Memorial Day holiday on Monday. The Total Number of Active Listings remained consistent at 139 total listings as there were 12 New Listings Last Week. The overall Absorption Rate was down from 2.12 months to just 1.63 months and the Average Cap Rate dropped further to 4.22%.
List of Closed Sales
Southern California
Long Beach multifamily sales were also down with just 4 Closed Sales Last Week. This is the lowest amount of weekly sales in the last few months. Again, I don't think it's anything indicating a slow down as the Closed Sales - Average Days on Market was still very low at just 27 days. The Total Number of Active Listings remained consistent with 106 Total Active Listings. The overall Absorption Rate was down from 2.2 months to just 1.98 months and the Average Cap Rate was nearly unchanged at 4.77%. The Average Gross Rent Multiplier went from 14.21 to just 13.3, quite a significant drop.
List of Closed Sales
OC Apartment Brokers